EconomyCloses · in 17 days$44.3K volumePart of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? →

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?

Gotcha risk

Medium

2 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The title simply asks if the price will be reached in November, but the rules specify November 2026, which is far in the future and could easily surprise anyone reading only the main prompt.

Read the full assessment

The title simply asks if the price will be reached in November, but the rules specify November 2026, which is far in the future and could easily surprise anyone reading only the main prompt. Beyond the long timeframe, the rules are highly technical and precise: resolution relies on 1-minute candle high/low data from Pyth tracking ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude (CLL), with specific fallback procedures to official ICE daily reports if data feeds fail. Participants must account for the strict contract-roll definition, which shifts the active contract during its final three trading sessions, meaning the tracked instrument changes mid-month according to the official exchange schedule.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Medium
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Medium

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

41%

chance

▲ +10 pts · 24h

Yes41¢
No59¢
↑ $95 · Yes · 1MO 68.5 H 73.5 L 28.0 C 41.0−27.5 (−40.1%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −30 pts24h · detected 9 Nov 2026, 11:10 UTC

The price dropped from 70% to 37% as three related WTI Crude Oil target markets repriced downward in tandem, the likely driver of the move.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 64% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 22 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ $105 (down), ↓ $85 (down), ↑ $110 (down).

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 20:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Market explained

This market measures whether ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) reach a high price of $95 or higher during November 2026 trading sessions according to Pyth 1-minute candle data.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures has a final High or Low price equal to or above $95. Prices are used exactly as published without rounding, and only prices during applicable trading sessions on business days count. The Active Month rolls to the next contract at the open of the third-to-last trading session of the nearest listed contract. The market resolves to No if the price threshold is not reached during the specified period, or if the Active Month contract does not trade at all. Pyth 1-minute candle data for CLL decides resolution. If Pyth data is unavailable due to an outage or disruption, the official daily high/low price published by ICE Futures Europe for the Active Month contract may be used.

Resolution source

Pyth (ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month CLL data), with ICE Futures Europe official daily high/low reports as a fallback.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·