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EsportsCloses · in 3 days$58.7K volumePart of: BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026: Winner →

Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?

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Gotcha risk

Low

2 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market resolves based on the official winner of the specified tournament as tracked on HLTV, with a fallback to credible reporting consensus if needed.

Read the full assessment

This market resolves based on the official winner of the specified tournament as tracked on HLTV, with a fallback to credible reporting consensus if needed. Clear boundaries are defined: if the event is canceled, not concluded, or postponed beyond December 15, 2026, the market resolves to 'Other'. Holders should note the specific tie-breaker clause, which dictates that if multiple co-winners are declared, resolution favors the team that comes first alphabetically rather than splitting or using an in-game metric.

Resolver
Medium
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Medium

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

9%

chance

▼ −20.5 pts · 24h

Yes9¢
No92¢
Vitality · Yes · 1MO 32.0 H 46.5 L 8.5 C 8.5−23.5 (−73.4%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −24 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 09:10 UTC

Vitality's implied win probability dropped from 32% to 8% as outcomes across the tournament repriced together, including Falcons moving up while MOUZ declined.

  • Largest hourly change: 08:00 UTC, 47% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 3 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: MOUZ (down), Falcons (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for esports markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 09:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026 (listed by HLTV as BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2), currently scheduled for November 11, 2026 to November 15, 2026 at AsiaWorld-Expo in Hong Kong. If this tournament is postponed after December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8251/blast-rivals-2026-season-2); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market explained

This market measures whether team Vitality will win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026 CS tournament. It includes a specific alphabetical tie-breaker rule if multiple winners are declared.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if team Vitality wins the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026 tournament. The market resolves to No if another team wins the tournament. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond December 15, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. If multiple teams are declared winners, resolution favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be determined using HLTV reporting, with a consensus of credible reporting serving as a secondary basis.

Resolution source

HLTV

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·