SportsCloses · in 1 day$2.1K volumePart of: Germany vs. Netherlands →

Will Germany win on 2026-11-16?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market resolves clearly based on the outcome of the scheduled UEFA Nations League match between Germany and Netherlands.

Read the full assessment

This market resolves clearly based on the outcome of the scheduled UEFA Nations League match between Germany and Netherlands. The rules specify that only the result within regular play plus stoppage time counts, meaning extra time or penalty shootouts in knockout formats do not apply. Official match data from UEFA serves as the primary source, with clearly defined fallback sources and concrete deadlines in the event of abandonment, delay, or missing data.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

52%

chance
Yes52¢
No49¢
Germany · Yes · 1MO 51.5 H 51.5 L 51.5 C 51.5±0.0 (+0.0%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Netherlands, originally scheduled for Monday, November 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Germany wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".

Market explained

This market measures whether Germany defeats the Netherlands in their scheduled UEFA Nations League match. The market only considers the outcome within regular play plus stoppage time, and resolves to No if the match is canceled, delayed, or abandoned past the cutoff date.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Germany wins against the Netherlands within regular play plus stoppage time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). The market resolves to No if Germany does not win (draw or loss), or if the match is canceled, fails to start by November 18, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that cutoff. If the game is abandoned, it resolves according to the governing body's ruling, the result as played (if declared to stand), or a replayed/resumed game completed by the cutoff; otherwise, it resolves to No. The primary deciding source is UEFA Nations League official match information, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

UEFA Nations League

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·