Spread: Washington (-3.5)
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market clearly defines the victory threshold: Washington must win by four or more points to resolve in their favor, while all other outcomes resolve to Michigan State.
Read the full assessment
The market clearly defines the victory threshold: Washington must win by four or more points to resolve in their favor, while all other outcomes resolve to Michigan State. A specific deadline is provided for postponements and cancellations, with an explicit 50-50 resolution rule if the game is abandoned or not played in time. Although the text references listed resolution sources without explicitly naming them, the objective final score of an official college football game leaves minimal room for dispute.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
49%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Michigan State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Michigan State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome of the college football game between Washington and Michigan State scheduled for November 14, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Washington if Washington wins the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, the market resolves to Michigan State. If the outcome was definitively determined by resolution sources prior to abandonment, that outcome stands. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·