Spread: Tulsa (-4.5)
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines a straightforward point spread condition where Tulsa must win by 5 or more points to resolve in their favor, otherwise resolving to Florida Atlantic.
Read the full assessment
The market defines a straightforward point spread condition where Tulsa must win by 5 or more points to resolve in their favor, otherwise resolving to Florida Atlantic. A clear postponement and cancellation cutoff is set for November 16, 2026, resolving 50-50 if no official game takes place. The text mentions listed resolution sources without explicitly naming them in the excerpt, but standard official game outcomes leave minimal room for subjective dispute.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
55%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Florida Atlantic and Tulsa, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Tulsa" if Tulsa win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Florida Atlantic". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether Tulsa covers a 4.5-point spread against Florida Atlantic in their college football game. It includes a specific 50-50 resolution provision if the game is canceled, delayed past a cutoff, or abandoned without an official result.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Tulsa if Tulsa wins the game by 5 or more points. The market resolves to Florida Atlantic if Florida Atlantic wins, the game ends in a tie, or Tulsa wins by fewer than 5 points. If the outcome was definitively determined under the rules by the listed sources before abandonment, that outcome stands. Otherwise, if the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·