Spread: UCF (-1.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly establish the spread condition: UCF must win by at least 2 points to cover the -1.5 spread, otherwise the market resolves to Arizona State.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly establish the spread condition: UCF must win by at least 2 points to cover the -1.5 spread, otherwise the market resolves to Arizona State. Precise deadlines and a 50-50 fallback are provided for game postponements, cancellations, or abandonments, leaving minimal room for ambiguity.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
56%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and UCF, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread result for the college football game between Arizona State and UCF, specifically whether UCF covers a 1.5-point spread.
How it resolves
The market resolves to UCF if UCF wins the game by 2 or more points. The market resolves to Arizona State in all other completed game scenarios. If the market outcome was definitively determined before abandonment, that outcome stands. Otherwise, if the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50. The deciding source is listed resolution sources.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·