Spread: UCLA (-8.5)
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria for the point spread are explicitly defined: UCLA must win by 9 or more points to resolve as UCLA, and any other final outcome resolves as Illinois.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria for the point spread are explicitly defined: UCLA must win by 9 or more points to resolve as UCLA, and any other final outcome resolves as Illinois. A clear fallback clause specifies that the market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled, abandoned without an official result, or fails to start by November 15, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The text refers to listed resolution sources without explicitly enumerating them, but the objective nature of an official college football final score leaves minimal room for subjective dispute.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
54%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Illinois and UCLA, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Illinois". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether UCLA covers an 8.5-point spread against Illinois in their college football game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to UCLA if UCLA wins the game by 9 or more points. The market resolves to Illinois otherwise. If the game is canceled, does not start by November 15, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50, unless the outcome was definitively determined under the rules before abandonment. The deciding source is the listed resolution sources.
Resolution source
The listed resolution sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·