SportsCloses · in 11 hours$18.2K volumePart of: Finland vs. San Marino →

Will San Marino win on 2026-11-15?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market clearly defines the win condition for San Marino in a specific UEFA Nations League match, limiting the result strictly to regular time plus stoppage time.

Read the full assessment

This market clearly defines the win condition for San Marino in a specific UEFA Nations League match, limiting the result strictly to regular time plus stoppage time. The resolution hierarchy is explicitly structured, relying first on official match information from UEFA, followed by a designated fallback order (Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting). Comprehensive clauses handle delays, postponements, and abandonments, specifying that if no official match result is reached by November 17, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No. The mechanics leave minimal room for ambiguity or decider discretion.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

<1%

chance
Yes<1¢
No>99¢
San Marino · Yes · 1MO 1.4 H 1.4 L 0.9 C 0.9−0.4 (−29.6%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Finland and San Marino, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If San Marino wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".

Market explained

This market measures whether San Marino defeats Finland in their UEFA Nations League match scheduled for November 15, 2026.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if San Marino wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if San Marino does not win, or if the match is canceled, fails to start by November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result, awarded result, completed replay, or standing score by that deadline. The market also resolves to No if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion. Resolution is decided using official match information from UEFA Nations League, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

UEFA Nations League

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·