Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 8?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear and deterministic resolution criteria. It identifies an exact timestamp (the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 8), a specific trading pair (BTC/USDT), an explicit data metric (the candle's final Close price), and a single definitive source (Binance). There is no decider discretion or ambiguity regarding which exchange price or measurement interval governs the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price is above $86,000 at a specific 1-minute candle on November 8, 2026. It relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT rather than any composite index or other exchange.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 8, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $86,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $86,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome, and prices from other exchanges or pairs are disregarded. Price precision matches the source.
Key dates
- Target candle close: — Candle closing at 12:00 PM ET determines resolution
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle close price
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.