PolymarketResolvedOutcome: NoClosed Part of Bitcoin above ___ on November 8? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 8?

Outcome

No

Polymarket resolved this market to No.

Final No price before close >99¢
Known at
$17K total volume

No price before the listed close date

7 days before
Not captured
24 hours before
1 hour before

Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

The resolution criteria are clearly specified with zero discretion. The market relies entirely on an objective, single data point: the close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle on Binance at precisely 12:00 PM ET on November 8. A direct link to the exact trading pair and candle timeframe is provided, eliminating ambiguity across different exchanges, pairs, or timezone interpretations.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

No price
99.6¢99.7¢99.8¢99.9¢100¢00:0108:0015:5823:56
85¢90¢95¢100¢Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8
99.2¢99.4¢99.6¢99.8¢100¢Nov 6Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8

Why it moved before close

Down 10 points · 5 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC

Coin price

The market dropped from 11% to 1% as Bitcoin fell 0.91% during the hour and 5.54% over 24 hours on Binance, moving further below the $84,000 threshold.

  • Largest hourly change: 12:00 UTC, 26% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.9% in the move hour, −5.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 6 Nov 2026, 00:41 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is above $84,000 at a specific minute on November 8, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data rather than broad index prices or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 8, 2026, records a final Close price strictly higher than $84,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or lower than $84,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome. Other exchanges, trading pairs, or index prices are excluded. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by Binance.

Key dates

  • Target evaluation time: — The 1-minute BTC/USDT candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on this date determines the price.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.