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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: NoClosed Part of Bitcoin above ___ on November 8? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 8?

Outcome

No

Polymarket resolved this market to No.

Final No price before close >99¢
Known at
$7.2K total volume

No price before the listed close date

7 days before
Not captured
24 hours before
1 hour before

Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on an objective, named source. The market determines the outcome strictly based on the final close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM ET on November 8 on Binance, leaving no room for discretionary judgment or source conflicts. Potential participants only need to monitor that specific data point on Binance at the designated minute.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

No price
99¢99.5¢100¢00:0108:0015:5823:56
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8
97¢98¢99¢100¢Nov 6Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8

Why it moved before close

Down 28 points · 5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coin price

The market fell from 31% to 3%. Bitcoin dropped 1.72% on Binance during the move hour and fell 5.54% over the window, leaving it 7.77% away from the $82,000 threshold and making the target less likely to be reached. This price decline is the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 33% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.7% in the move hour, −5.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 6 Nov 2026, 00:41 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is above $82,000 on November 8, specifically using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at noon ET rather than an average or other exchange prices.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 8 has a final Close price strictly higher than $82,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is at or below $82,000. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision defined by the number of decimal places provided by the source.

Key dates

  • Target date: — The specific date when the 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle close price is evaluated.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.