Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 8?
Outcome
Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Yes price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules provide precise and objective conditions. Outcome determination depends strictly on a single data point: the final Close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on November 8 from Binance. The target threshold ($72,000) and comparison operator (strictly higher) are explicitly stated, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $72,000 at a specific minute on November 8. Resolution is based strictly on a single 1-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair rather than a daily high or prices on other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 8 has a final Close price strictly greater than $72,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or less than $72,000. Resolution relies solely on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs do not count. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by Binance.
Key dates
- Target evaluation time: — 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle close
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.