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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Solana hit in November? →

Will Solana dip to $80 in November?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close 88¢
Known at
$37.4K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market features clear and deterministic rules. It resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the SOL/USDT pair shows a Low price of $80.00 or lower between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30; otherwise, it resolves to No. The source is explicitly defined with exact chart and timeframe parameters, eliminating discretion. Participants should note that prices on other exchanges or different trading pairs do not count, even if Solana trades below $80 elsewhere.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢03:0211:0018:5802:56
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13

Why it moved before close

Up 21 points · 11 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 72% to 90%. Solana fell 1.24% on Binance during the move hour and dropped 2.81% over the 24-hour window, bringing the coin closer to the $80 threshold and making a dip to $80 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 64% of the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): −1.2% in the move hour, −2.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 19 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 100 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 14:50 UTC

Up 32 points · 10 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC

Coin price

The price rose from 58% to 83% as Solana fell 1.31% on Binance during the move hour (and 3.65% over the window), making a dip to $80 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 10:00 UTC, 78% of the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): −1.3% in the move hour, −3.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 20 days after the move hour.
  • 6 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 100 (down), ↓ 70 (up), ↑ 110 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:06 UTC

Up 11 points · 8 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 45% to 55%. Solana dropped 3.52% on Binance during the hour of the move, bringing its price closer to the $80 threshold and making a dip to that level more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 21:00 UTC, larger than the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): −3.5% in the move hour, −2.0% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 22 days after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 100 (down), ↓ 70 (up), ↑ 110 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 05:20 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL) drops to $80 or lower on Binance during the month of November. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from Binance's SOL/USDT pair.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $80 during November, covering from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last day. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair on 1-minute chart settings, disregarding prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or other trading pairs.

Key dates

  • Start of November: 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November
  • End of November: 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November

Resolution source

Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.