Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are clearly specified and strictly bounded.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are clearly specified and strictly bounded. The market relies entirely on a single named exchange pair (ETH/USDT on Binance) using 1-minute candle Low prices across a clearly defined timezone window (Eastern Time). The market resolves immediately to Yes if the price touches or falls below the $1,500 threshold, or resolves to No once the month concludes without that condition being met. Other exchanges and trading pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving no room for decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
9%
chance▲ +3.25 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) drops to $1,500 or lower on Binance during November. Resolution relies solely on Binance 1-minute candle data and excludes prices from any other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30 has a final Low price equal to or lower than $1,500. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The deciding source is Binance, specifically the 1-minute chart for the ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·