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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Ethereum hit in November? →

Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$37.2K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
Not captured
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market features clear, objective resolution criteria tied to a specific data point. Resolution is determined solely by the final low price of any one-minute candle on the Binance ETH/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves to Yes immediately if a qualifying candle's Low touches or breaches $2,100, and resolves to No if the window closes without hitting the threshold. The source and chart settings are explicitly defined, leaving virtually no room for decider interpretation or discretion. Participants only need to ensure they track the specified Binance pair rather than composite or multi-exchange price feeds.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
40¢60¢80¢100¢22:1106:1014:0822:06
0¢50¢100¢Nov 3Nov 5Nov 6Nov 8
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 4Nov 5Nov 7Nov 8

Why it moved before close

Up 11 points · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 56% to 67% as Ethereum fell 0.51% on Binance during the move hour and 1.56% over 24 hours, making a dip to $2,100 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 20:00 UTC, 40% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −0.5% in the move hour, −1.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 25 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 1,800 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 6 Nov 2026, 16:35 UTC

Up 40 points · 5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability rose from 30% to 67% as Ethereum dropped 1.81% on Binance during the move hour, making a dip to $2,100 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 43% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.8% in the move hour, −3.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 25 days after the move hour.
  • 15 related outcomes moved in the same window, 7 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 2,200 (up), ↑ 2,500 (down), ↑ 2,600 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 5 Nov 2026, 23:05 UTC

Down 30 points · 4 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability fell from 61% to 28% as Ethereum rose 1.4% on Binance during the move hour, making a dip to $2,100 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 04:00 UTC, 62% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +1.4% in the move hour, +1.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 26 days after the move hour.
  • 12 related outcomes moved in the same window, 6 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 2,500 (up), ↓ 2,200 (down), ↑ 2,600 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 5 Nov 2026, 02:20 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the Ethereum (ETH/USDT) price on Binance drops to $2,100 or lower during November. Resolution relies strictly on Binance's 1-minute candle data and excludes all other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $2,100 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or breaches that price floor during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart; other trading pairs, spot markets, or exchanges are not considered.

Key dates

  • Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November.
  • Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November.

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.