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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Ethereum hit in November? →

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$189.9K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
Not captured
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is tied directly to a single, named data feed: the 1-minute candle Low prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance. The time boundaries are explicitly defined down to the minute in Eastern Time, and early resolution occurs immediately if the threshold price is breached. There is no decider discretion or ambiguity regarding which exchange, pair, or chart timeframe governs the outcome.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢22:0606:0514:0322:01
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 3Nov 5Nov 6Nov 8
40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 4Nov 5Nov 7Nov 8

Why it moved before close

Up 11 points · 5 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 79% to 90%. Ethereum fell 0.5% on Binance during the move hour and 1.6% over 24 hours, bringing it closer to the $2,200 target and making a dip to that level more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 17:00 UTC, 45% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −0.5% in the move hour, −1.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 25 days after the move hour.
  • 15 related outcomes moved in the same window, 7 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 2,500 (down), ↓ 2,100 (up), ↑ 2,600 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 6 Nov 2026, 16:35 UTC

Up 42 points · 5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 43% to 85% as Ethereum fell 1.81% on Binance in the move hour and dropped 3.37% over the window, making a dip to $2,200 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 38% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.8% in the move hour, −3.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 25 days after the move hour.
  • 14 related outcomes moved in the same window, 7 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 2,500 (down), ↓ 2,100 (up), ↑ 2,600 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 5 Nov 2026, 16:20 UTC

Down 43 points · 4 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC

Coin price

The market fell from 86% to 46% as Ethereum rose 1.4% on Binance during the hour of the move, making a dip to $2,200 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 04:00 UTC, 54% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +1.4% in the move hour, +1.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 26 days after the move hour.
  • 12 related outcomes moved in the same window, 6 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 2,500 (up), ↓ 2,100 (down), ↑ 2,600 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 5 Nov 2026, 03:20 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether Ethereum drops to $2,200 or lower during November. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from Binance's ETH/USDT pair, ignoring prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $2,200 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below this price threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.

Key dates

  • Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET
  • Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.