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CryptoCloses · in 17 days$109.1K volumePart of: What price will Ethereum hit in November? →

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in November?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear, objective resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear, objective resolution criteria. Resolution is based entirely on a specific metric from a single named exchange: the final High price of any 1-minute ETH/USDT candle on Binance reaching or exceeding $2,500. The active timeframe is precisely defined from 00:00 AM ET on November 1 to 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the price threshold is hit at any point during that window, or to No after the month closes. Price action on other exchanges or trading pairs is explicitly excluded.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

5%

chance

▼ −4.5 pts · 24h

Yes5¢
No95¢
↑ 2,500 · Yes · 1MO 43.5 H 81.5 L 4.5 C 5.0−38.5 (−88.5%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −11 pts24h · detected 10 Nov 2026, 15:40 UTC

The market fell from 23% to 13% as Ethereum declined 1.58% on Binance in the move hour and 3.01% over 24 hours, making reaching $2,500 less likely and acting as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 13:00 UTC, 27% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.6% in the move hour, −3.0% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 20 days after the move hour.
  • 7 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 2,300 (down), ↓ 2,000 (up), ↑ 2,400 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 15:51 UTC

Earlier

▼ −14 pts · 8 Nov 2026, 22:10 UTCThe market price dropped from 36% to 23% as Ethereum fell 4.46% on Binance during the move hour, making reaching the $2,500 target less likely. Ethereum's price drop is the likely driver.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 8 Nov 2026, 22:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $2,500 during November. It resolves based exclusively on 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair reaches a final High price of $2,500 or higher between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds that target price during the specified window. Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data serves as the exclusive resolution source.

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·