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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close 92¢
Known at
$472.5K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market has well-defined and deterministic rules. It resolves immediately to Yes if any 1-minute candle's Low price on the Binance BTC/USDT pair touches or drops below $72,500 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30; otherwise, it resolves to No. The resolution source is a specific, public, single exchange pair URL and timeframe setting, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguous interpretations.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢13:2621:2505:2313:21
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 5Nov 7Nov 10Nov 12
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12

Why it moved before close

Up 11 points · 11 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Related outcomes

The market rose from 78% to 89% alongside moves in 10 related outcomes for Bitcoin price levels in November, the likely driver of the repricing.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 44% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): +0.6% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 19 days after the move hour.
  • 10 related outcomes moved in the same window, 5 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 70,000 (down), ↑ 77,500 (up), ↓ 67,500 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 11:50 UTC

Down 11 points · 10 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC

Related outcomes

The market fell from 88% to 77% as part of a broader repricing across 9 related Bitcoin price outcomes, with Bitcoin moving -0.46% on Binance during the move hour.

  • Largest hourly change: 16:00 UTC, 89% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.5% in the move hour, +1.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 20 days after the move hour.
  • 9 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 77,500 (down), ↑ 80,000 (down), ↓ 70,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:35 UTC

Up 14 points · 10 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 71% to 85% as Bitcoin fell 1.59% on Binance during the hour of the move, increasing the likelihood of dipping to $72,500 and serving as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, larger than the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.6% in the move hour, +0.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 20 days after the move hour.
  • 9 related outcomes moved in the same window, 5 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 77,500 (down), ↑ 80,000 (down), ↓ 70,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 15:20 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches or falls below $72,500 during November. It resolves based exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle data.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $72,500 between November 1 at 00:00 AM ET and November 30 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The outcome is determined solely by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.

Key dates

  • Market window start: — 00:00 AM ET
  • Market window end: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1m chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.