Will Ciryl Gane win in Round 1?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the exact conditions required for a positive resolution, including the allowed stoppage methods and an explicit rule attributing between-round stoppages to the preceding round.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the exact conditions required for a positive resolution, including the allowed stoppage methods and an explicit rule attributing between-round stoppages to the preceding round. The resolution relies on official information from the UFC, leaving minimal decider discretion. Edge cases such as disqualifications, decisions, draws, cancellations, or postponements beyond the two-week buffer are clearly defined with unambiguous resolution outcomes.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
20%
chance▲ +1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ciryl Gane defeats Josh Hokit at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Market explained
This market measures whether Ciryl Gane will defeat Josh Hokit in Round 1 via KO, TKO, or submission at UFC 334. Stoppages between rounds count toward the round that just concluded, and certain non-standard outcomes resolve 50-50.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ciryl Gane defeats Josh Hokit at UFC 334 on November 14, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission ending the fight in Round 1, including referee, doctor, or corner stoppages. A stoppage occurring between rounds counts as ending in the round just completed. The market resolves to No if the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification by either fighter. The market resolves to 50-50 if the bout is ruled a No Contest, is not scored, is canceled, or is postponed beyond November 28, 2026. Resolution is decided by official information from the UFC once the period of play concludes and the result is definitively determined.
Resolution source
Official information from the UFC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·