Will Josh Hokit win in Round 1?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market has precise criteria for resolving to Yes, requiring a specific named fighter to win in the first round by knockout, technical knockout, or submission.
Read the full assessment
This market has precise criteria for resolving to Yes, requiring a specific named fighter to win in the first round by knockout, technical knockout, or submission. It clearly defines how stoppages between rounds are attributed and specifies that disqualifications, decisions, draws, or wins in later rounds resolve to No. Official information from the UFC is the designated resolution authority, and explicit provisions are in place for cancellations, postponements past a two-week buffer, and no contests resolving to 50-50.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
5%
chance▼ −6.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Hokit defeats Ciryl Gane at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Market explained
This market measures whether Josh Hokit defeats Ciryl Gane in the first round at UFC 334. Stoppages between rounds count toward the round just completed, and certain cancellations or postponements resolve the market 50-50.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Josh Hokit defeats Ciryl Gane by KO, TKO, or submission in Round 1, including referee, doctor, or corner stoppages. A stoppage between rounds counts as ending in the round just completed. The market resolves to No if the fight is won in any other round, ends via decision, results in a draw, or ends via disqualification for either fighter. The market resolves to 50-50 if the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026. Official information from the UFC decides the outcome once the fight concludes.
Resolution source
Official information from the UFC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·