Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 7?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria. It identifies an exact data source (Binance BTC/USDT pair), a specific candle duration (1 minute), an exact closing timestamp (12:00 PM ET on November 7), and the exact metric to evaluate (Close price). The outcome relies directly on published numeric data from a single designated exchange with no subjective discretion involved.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is higher than $86,000 on November 7. Resolution depends strictly on a specific one-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair rather than broad market averages or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 7 has a final Close price strictly higher than $86,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is at or below $86,000. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision determined by the source's decimal places.
Key dates
- Measurement time: — The 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET determines the price.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle Close price
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.