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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: NoClosed Part of Bitcoin above ___ on November 7? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 7?

Outcome

No

Polymarket resolved this market to No.

Final No price before close >99¢
Known at
$41.2K total volume

No price before the listed close date

7 days before
Not captured
24 hours before
1 hour before

Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on an objective, verifiable data point. The outcome depends strictly on the final Close price of the Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM ET on November 7. A specific link, exchange pair, time frame, and time zone are provided, leaving virtually no discretion to the decider. Participants should simply ensure they evaluate the exact specified Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at noon ET rather than prices from other exchanges, pairs, or alternate timestamps.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

No price
94¢96¢98¢100¢03:0110:0016:5823:56
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 5Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7
92¢94¢96¢98¢100¢Nov 6Nov 6Nov 6Nov 7

Why it moved before close

Down 56 points · 5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coin price

The market fell from 62% to 6% as Bitcoin dropped 1.72% on Binance in the move hour and 5.54% over 24 hours, making staying above $80,000 less likely, the likely driver of the decline.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 41% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.7% in the move hour, −5.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 34 hours after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: 78,000 (down), 76,000 (down), 82,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 6 Nov 2026, 00:41 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $80,000 on November 7, 2026. Resolution is tied exclusively to a specific 1-minute candle on Binance's BTC/USDT pair rather than broader index averages or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 7 has a final Close price strictly greater than $80,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or less than $80,000. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source. Only the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair is considered; other exchanges and trading pairs are disregarded. Resolution is determined using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart.

Key dates

  • Target candle close: — Candle closes at 12:00 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.