Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a designated official record or primary source, giving the market decider significant latitude to determine what qualifies as reliable reporting.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a designated official record or primary source, giving the market decider significant latitude to determine what qualifies as reliable reporting. A meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact in person, which creates potential ambiguity around incidental contact, brief greetings at multilateral summits, or unconfirmed private encounters. Outside of that definition, the timing cutoff is clearly specified as November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
95%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person by November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump meet between market creation and November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both individuals are present and interact with each other in person. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·