Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- Not captured
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria. It relies exclusively on a single named metric: the final high price of any one-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance. The timeframe is clearly defined as running through 11:59 PM ET on November 1. There is no decider discretion, and the rules explicitly state that prices from other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of at least $80,000 on the Binance BTC/USDT pair between the market's creation and November 1, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT from the market's creation through 11:59 PM ET on November 1, 2026, has a final High price equal to or greater than $80,000. Price action prior to market creation does not count. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $80,000 by that deadline. The resolution is determined exclusively using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, disregarding other exchanges, different trading pairs, and spot markets.
Key dates
- End of evaluation period: — The final cutoff time (11:59 PM ET) for reaching the price threshold.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the date range specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.