Spread: Colts (-4.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are straightforward and mathematically precise, resolving to the Colts if they win by 5 or more points and to the Dolphins in any other scenario.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are straightforward and mathematically precise, resolving to the Colts if they win by 5 or more points and to the Dolphins in any other scenario. Overtime is explicitly included, and clear instructions cover postponements and complete cancellations. Because final game scores are unambiguous objective facts, there is minimal risk of unexpected resolution.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
50%
chance▲ +1.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Dolphins and Colts, scheduled for November 15 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Indianapolis Colts will cover a 4.5-point spread against the Miami Dolphins in their scheduled NFL game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Colts if the Colts win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, the market resolves to Dolphins. Overtime counts if played. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·