Spread: Colts (-3.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution based on the final score of the specified NFL game, explicitly stating that the Colts must win by 4 or more points for the market to resolve to Colts, and to Dolphins otherwise.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution based on the final score of the specified NFL game, explicitly stating that the Colts must win by 4 or more points for the market to resolve to Colts, and to Dolphins otherwise. Overtime is explicitly included, and standard contingencies for game postponements and cancellations are clearly defined.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
54%
chance▲ +2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Dolphins and Colts, scheduled for November 15 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Indianapolis Colts will defeat the Miami Dolphins by at least 4 points in their scheduled NFL game, covering a 3.5-point spread.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Colts if the Colts win the game by 4 or more points, including overtime. The market resolves to Dolphins if the Colts do not win by 4 or more points. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. The rules do not specify a deciding source.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·