Spread: Lions (-4.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly outline the point spread requirement: the Lions must win by 5 or more points to resolve to Lions, otherwise the market resolves to Patriots.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly outline the point spread requirement: the Lions must win by 5 or more points to resolve to Lions, otherwise the market resolves to Patriots. Overtime is explicitly included, and standard contingencies for postponement or total cancellation are well-defined. While a specific official data source is not explicitly named, the final score of a standard NFL game is an objective and universally recognized outcome with minimal room for dispute.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
41%
chance▼ −0.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Lions, scheduled for November 15 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Lions" if the Lions win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Detroit Lions will cover a 4.5-point spread against the New England Patriots in their scheduled NFL game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Lions if the Lions win the game by 5 or more points, with overtime included if played. The market resolves to Patriots otherwise, including if the Lions win by fewer than 5 points, lose, or tie. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·