Spread: Lions (-3.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves according to clear, objective football scoring criteria.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves according to clear, objective football scoring criteria. The threshold is well-defined: the Lions must win by 4 or more points to cover the spread, and overtime is explicitly included. In the event of a postponement, the market stays open until completion, and a total cancellation triggers a standard 50-50 resolution. The standard final score of an NFL game leaves virtually no room for subjective interpretation or dispute.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
44%
chance▼ −0.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Lions, scheduled for November 15 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Lions" if the Lions win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Detroit Lions will cover a 3.5-point spread against the New England Patriots in their scheduled NFL game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Lions if the Lions win the game by 4 or more points, with overtime included. The market resolves to Patriots if the Lions do not win by at least 4 points. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·