Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define how the winner is determined, specifying that party affiliation is tied directly to the official party nomination and explicitly excluding candidates running as independents from the Democratic or Republican options. Resolution relies on an objective standard requiring all three named media networks—the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC—to call the race for the same candidate, with a clear fallback to official state certification if they do not agree.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether the Democratic Party's nominee will win the Colorado gubernatorial election in 2026. The resolution is unusual because it requires agreement from three specific news sources before official certification is used.
How it resolves
This market resolves Yes if the Democratic Party's nominee wins the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election. A candidate is considered to represent a party if they are that party's nominee. Candidates running as independents are not encompassed by the "Democrat" option, regardless of party affiliation. This market resolves No if a candidate other than the Democratic Party's nominee wins the election. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If these three sources have not all called the race for the same candidate, the market will resolve based on the official certification of the election results.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·
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