Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 October 26-November 1?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- Not captured
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is tied directly to a single named exchange pair (Binance BTC/USDT) and explicitly defines the exact chart metric (1-minute candle final 'Low' price) and price threshold ($66,000 or lower). The timeframe is fully specified down to the minute and timezone (12:00 AM ET on October 26 through 11:59 PM ET on November 1), with an immediate early resolution trigger if the price hits the target during the window. External exchanges and other pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving no room for decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) reaches a low price of $66,000 or lower on Binance between October 26 and November 1. It resolves immediately upon hitting the price threshold.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $66,000 between October 26 at 12:00 AM ET and November 1 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No otherwise. Resolution is decided solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low price data. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Start of monitoring window: — 12:00 AM ET
- End of monitoring window: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.