Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 26-November 1?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- Not captured
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly specified with precise parameters. The market designates a single resolution source, the Binance BTC/USDT pair, and specifies the exact metric to check: whether any 1-minute candle shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $68,000 between October 26 at 12:00 AM ET and November 1 at 11:59 PM ET. It includes standard early resolution to Yes if the price threshold is reached before the end date, and explicitly excludes all other exchanges and trading pairs, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguous readings.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price drops to or below $68,000 between October 26 and November 1.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT trading pair records a final Low price equal to or lower than $68,000 between October 26 at 12:00 AM ET and November 1 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches that price during the specified window. The outcome depends entirely on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Start of monitoring window: — 12:00 AM ET on October 26
- End of monitoring window: — 11:59 PM ET on November 1
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.