Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 26-November 1?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market provides precise and unambiguous resolution criteria. It specifies the exact exchange (Binance), trading pair (BTC/USDT), timeframe (1-minute candles), metric (candle 'High'), and window (12:00 AM ET on October 26 to 11:59 PM ET on November 1). Early resolution triggers immediately if any 1-minute candle meets or exceeds $88,000, leaving no room for subjective interpretation or source discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of at least $88,000 on Binance within the specified October 26 to November 1 window.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price of $88,000 or greater between October 26 at 12:00 AM ET and November 1 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not considered.
Key dates
- Start time: — 12:00 AM ET on October 26
- End time: — 11:59 PM ET on November 1
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.