Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 26-November 1?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is tied directly to a specific metric on a named exchange: the final High price of 1-minute BTC/USDT candles on Binance. The timeframe is explicitly defined down to the minute with a specific timezone (12:00 AM ET on October 26 to 11:59 PM ET on November 1). Early resolution occurs immediately if the target price of $92,000 is reached, and prices from other exchanges or pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving no room for discretion or ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches $92,000 between October 26 and November 1. It relies exclusively on 1-minute candle high prices from Binance's BTC/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair shows a final High price of $92,000 or higher between 12:00 AM ET on October 26 and 11:59 PM ET on November 1. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds that threshold during the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data; prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count.
Key dates
- Start of observation window: — 12:00 AM ET
- End of observation window: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.