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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the 1-minute candle data for ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) on Pyth hitting $75 or below during November 2026 trading sessions.

Read the full assessment

The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the 1-minute candle data for ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) on Pyth hitting $75 or below during November 2026 trading sessions. The definitions for active contract roll dates, trading hours, and fallback mechanisms to ICE official daily data during Pyth outages are explicitly detailed. Source discretion is minimal as resolution relies strictly on published technical data feeds.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

14%

chance

▼ −6 pts · 24h

Yes14¢
No87¢
↓ $75 · Yes · 1MO 4.5 H 37.0 L 4.5 C 13.5+9.0 (+200.0%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −12 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 01:40 UTC

The market fell from 24% to 13% as related WTI Crude Oil price outcomes repriced together, with four related markets moving in the same period.

  • Largest hourly change: 19:00 UTC, 30% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ $90 (up), ↓ $80 (down), ↑ $95 (up).

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 01:50 UTC

Earlier

▼ −12 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 09:40 UTCThe price fell from 36% to 25% as related outcomes for WTI Crude Oil repriced together, including the $125 target market also declining.News check pending.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 09:50 UTC

Earlier

▲ +11 pts · 9 Nov 2026, 20:10 UTCThe market price rose from 20% to 31%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.News check pending.AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 20:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures drops to $75 or lower during trading sessions in November 2026.

How it resolves

This market resolves to Yes if any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) records a final High or Low price of $75 or lower at any point after market creation during a trading session of November 2026. Only prices achieved during applicable trading sessions on business days are considered, using exact Pyth prices without rounding. The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, rolling to the next listed contract at the open of its third-to-last trading session. This market resolves to No if no such price is reached, or if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the timeframe. The primary resolution source is Pyth 1-minute candles. If Pyth data is unavailable due to an outage or disruption, the official daily high/low price published by ICE Futures Europe may be used.

Resolution source

Pyth

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·