Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 22?
Current price
0.65¢
Implied probability 0.65%
$2.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define the exact metric, trading pair, timeframe, and source to determine the outcome. Resolution strictly depends on the final Close price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 22. A specific URL and interface configuration are provided, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or source discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $90,000 at a specific minute on October 22. It is strictly tied to Binance's BTC/USDT pair rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 22 has a final Close price strictly higher than $90,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or below $90,000. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision matching the decimal places provided by the source, and disregards prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
Key dates
- Observation time: — The 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET determines resolution.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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