Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?
Last captured price
97.25¢
+1.45¢ · 24h
Implied probability 97.25%
$6.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly specified with minimal room for interpretation. Outcome determination relies on a single named source, specific trading pair, explicit chart configuration, and an exact timestamp down to the minute. The only minor factor to keep in mind is that the price is strictly determined by Binance's BTC/USDT pair rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $76,000 on October 22, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on a specific Binance 1-minute candle rather than broader index prices or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 22, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $76,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or below $76,000. The market resolves strictly according to Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, disregarding other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision matches the decimal places provided by the source.
Key dates
- Target candle close: — 12:00 PM ET candle close
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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