NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: Resolution relies directly on NVIDIA's official earnings materials, including press releases, SEC filings, and investor presentations, specifically checking the non-GAAP adjusted gross margin figure.
Read the full assessment
Resolution relies directly on NVIDIA's official earnings materials, including press releases, SEC filings, and investor presentations, specifically checking the non-GAAP adjusted gross margin figure. The rules provide explicit instructions for rounding, midpoints if a range is given, precision handling, and a clear standard that subsequent revisions are excluded. While there is a default fallback to the lowest bracket if the metric is omitted or if earnings are not released by December 31, 2026, these are standard boundary conditions that present little surprise given NVIDIA's regular financial reporting practices.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
86%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market explained
This market measures whether NVIDIA's non-GAAP adjusted gross margin for its upcoming third fiscal quarter falls within the range of 73% to 75%.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if NVIDIA reports an adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) between 73% and 75% for Q3 in its official earnings materials. The market resolves to No if the reported margin falls outside this bracket, or if earnings materials are not released by the deadline or omit the metric (causing resolution to the lowest bracket). If a value falls exactly between two brackets, it resolves to the higher range bracket. If reported as a range, the midpoint is used. Subsequent revisions are disregarded. Resolution is determined by NVIDIA's official earnings materials, press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, or earnings webcast recordings/transcripts.
Resolution source
NVIDIA's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and earnings webcast recordings or transcripts
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·