Spread: Pacers (-6.5)
Current price
40¢
Implied probability 40%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the spread threshold: the Pacers must win by 7 or more points to resolve to 'Pacers', while any other result, including a smaller margin of victory, a tie, or a loss, resolves to 'Pelicans'. The rules also clearly outline how postponements and outright cancellations are handled. Although an explicit data source such as NBA.com is not formally named, official NBA final scores are unambiguous, verifiable, and leave virtually no room for subjective interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pacers" if the Pacers win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Indiana Pacers will defeat the New Orleans Pelicans by at least 7 points in their scheduled NBA game. It includes specific provisions resolving ties to the Pelicans and splitting 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Pacers if the Pacers win the game by 7 or more points. It resolves to Pelicans if the Pacers win by fewer than 7 points, if the Pelicans win, or if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — The game is scheduled for October 21 at 8:00 PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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