Spread: Jazz (-2.5)
Current price
43.5¢
Implied probability 43.5%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution based on the final score difference of the scheduled NBA game. Winning by 3 or more points resolves to the Jazz, while any smaller margin, loss, or tie resolves to the Grizzlies. Postponement and cancellation scenarios are explicitly handled, with the market staying open until completion or splitting evenly if entirely canceled. Although an official data source like the NBA box score is not explicitly named, standard sports game outcomes leave virtually no room for subjective interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jazz" if the Jazz win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome for the Utah Jazz against the Memphis Grizzlies, resolving based on whether the Jazz win by at least 3 points.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Jazz if the Jazz win the game by 3 or more points. The market resolves to Grizzlies if the Grizzlies win, if the Jazz win by fewer than 3 points, or if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The rules do not specify an external resolving authority.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — The NBA game is scheduled to take place at 8:00 PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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