Spread: Wizards (-6.5)
Current price
44.5¢
Implied probability 44.5%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear and straightforward resolution mechanics for a standard sports point spread. The margin required for the Wizards outcome is explicitly stated as winning by seven or more points, while all other game conclusions, including ties or smaller margins, resolve to the opponent. Standard contingency clauses are provided for game postponements and cancellations, with no unusual or subjective conditions.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wizards" if the Wizards win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome of an NBA game between the Washington Wizards and the Milwaukee Bucks, specifically whether the Wizards win by at least 7 points.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "Wizards" if the Wizards win the game by 7 or more points. The market resolves to "Bucks" if the Wizards do not win by at least 7 points, or if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game time: — The NBA game is scheduled to take place at 7:00 PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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