Spread: Magic (-5.5)
Current price
40¢
Implied probability 40%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the spread threshold: the Magic must win by 6 or more points to resolve in their favor, while any other result, including a tie, resolves to the Hawks. Postponements keep the market open until completion, and a complete cancellation resolves 50-50. While no specific official box score source or league database is explicitly named, standard NBA game outcomes are objective and leave little room for conflicting interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Orlando Magic cover a 5.5-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks in their scheduled NBA game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Magic if the Orlando Magic win the game by 6 or more points. The market resolves to Hawks if the Magic win by 5 or fewer points, if the Hawks win, or if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The rules do not specify a deciding source.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — Scheduled for 7:00 PM ET
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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