Spread: Heat (-4.5)
Current price
39¢
Implied probability 39%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly outline the specific point margin required for the Heat to win the market (5 or more points) versus the Timberwolves. Standard exceptions such as postponements and full cancellations are accounted for directly with explicit fallback outcomes. While no specific official box score URL is listed, the outcome of an official NBA game is an objective, standardized public record leaving minimal room for decider latitude or disputed interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Miami Heat will cover a 4.5-point spread against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their scheduled NBA game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Heat if the Heat win the game by 5 or more points. The market resolves to Timberwolves if the Heat do not win by at least 5 points, or if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The rules do not specify a deciding source.
Key dates
- Scheduled game time: — Game scheduled for October 21 at 7:30 PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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