Bucks vs. Wizards
Current price
35.5¢
Implied probability 35.5%
$840.4 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows a straightforward sports outcome format with clear resolution paths. The winning side resolves to that team based on the final score including overtime, and standard contingencies are explicitly addressed: postponements keep the market open until played, while a complete cancellation resolves evenly at 50-50. There is minimal ambiguity or room for decider interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the winner of the NBA game between the Milwaukee Bucks and Washington Wizards scheduled for October 21.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Bucks if the Bucks win the game. The market resolves to Wizards if the Wizards win the game. The final score includes any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — Scheduled date and time for the NBA game
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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