Hawks vs. Magic
Current price
44.5¢
Implied probability 44.5%
$127.6 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves cleanly based on the final outcome of the specified NBA game between the Hawks and Magic, including any overtime periods. Clear contingencies are outlined for potential schedule disruptions: if the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played, and if it is canceled outright with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. Although no specific official source like NBA.com is explicitly named, standard professional sports match outcomes are objective and leave virtually no room for dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the winner of the NBA game between the Atlanta Hawks and the Orlando Magic. It includes a specific 50-50 split resolution if the game is completely canceled without a make-up game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Hawks if the Atlanta Hawks win the game. The market resolves to Magic if the Orlando Magic win the game. The outcome is determined by the final score, including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it finishes. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game time: — The game is scheduled for October 21 at 7:00PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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