Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?
Last captured price
1.6¢
+0.35¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.6%
$2.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has very specific and objective resolution rules. It identifies an exact metric, which is the final close price of the Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 21. A direct link and specific interface settings are provided, eliminating discretionary interpretation or uncertainty over which exchange or trading pair determines the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is above $88,000 on October 21, 2026. Resolution depends specifically on the close price of a single one-minute candle on Binance rather than a broader daily average or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 21 has a final Close price strictly greater than $88,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $88,000. Binance serves as the sole resolution source, specifically using the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded. Precision follows the decimal places reported by the source.
Key dates
- Price measurement time: — 12:00 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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