Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?
Current price
2¢
−1.65¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2%
$4.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify a single, objective resolution criterion: the close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM ET on October 21 directly on Binance. A specific URL and chart settings are designated, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or timing confusion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is above $86,000 on October 21. It relies exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at noon Eastern Time rather than aggregate index prices or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 21, 2026, records a final Close price strictly higher than $86,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is at or below $86,000. The outcome is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT data with the precision determined by the source.
Key dates
- Resolution timestamp: — Price measured at the 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle close
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle Close price
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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