Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
Current price
39.5¢
Implied probability 39.5%
$137.4 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has straightforward mechanics for a standard point spread. The conditions are explicit: the Spurs must win by 6 or more points to resolve to Spurs, while any other outcome—including a smaller Spurs win, a Thunder win, or an improbable tie—resolves to Thunder. Standard contingency rules cover postponements until completion and specify a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled without a make-up date. While an explicit official source like the NBA box score is not directly named, the outcome of an NBA game score is universally tracked and unambiguous.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the San Antonio Spurs will cover a 5.5-point spread against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their scheduled NBA game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Spurs if the Spurs win the game by 6 or more points. The market resolves to Thunder if the Spurs do not win by at least 6 points, including if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game concludes. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — Scheduled date and time for the NBA game (9:30 PM ET).
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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