Will the Worlds 2026 champion be a first-time Worlds winner?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines exact conditions for resolution, explicitly listing the specific historical winning organizations that trigger a negative resolution (T1, Gen.G, Dplus KIA, and Invictus Gaming) and clarifying that player histories do not count.
Read the full assessment
The market defines exact conditions for resolution, explicitly listing the specific historical winning organizations that trigger a negative resolution (T1, Gen.G, Dplus KIA, and Invictus Gaming) and clarifying that player histories do not count. The primary resolution source is official data from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, with credible esports databases like Liquipedia serving as backup. A clear cutoff date of December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves the market to No if the event is canceled or postponed past that point.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
38%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the team that wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, has never won the League of Legends World Championship before. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team is a previous Worlds winner if its organization won any League of Legends World Championship from 2011 to 2025, including under a previous name. Among the teams in the Worlds 2026 field, the previous winners are T1 (2013, 2015, and 2016 as SK Telecom T1; 2023, 2024, and 2025 as T1), Gen.G (2017 as Samsung Galaxy), Dplus KIA (2020 as DAMWON Gaming), and Invictus Gaming (2018). If any of these four teams wins Worlds 2026, this market will resolve to "No". If any other team wins Worlds 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Previous titles won by individual players do not matter. If the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether the organization winning the 2026 League of Legends World Championship has never previously won the tournament title.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any team other than T1, Gen.G, Dplus KIA, or Invictus Gaming wins Worlds 2026. Prior individual player titles do not count. The market resolves to No if T1, Gen.G, Dplus KIA, or Invictus Gaming wins the tournament. It also resolves to No if the winner is not determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the event is canceled or postponed past that date. Resolution is decided by Riot Games official information on the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia.
Resolution source
Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or credible reporting consensus such as Liquipedia
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·