Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the required criteria for resolution, naming the specific individual involved, the exact entities that must make the allegation (the U.S. federal government or OpenAI), and the required attribution standard (definitively stating the individual acted on behalf of, or under the direction, control, or sponsorship of, the listed entity).
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the required criteria for resolution, naming the specific individual involved, the exact entities that must make the allegation (the U.S. federal government or OpenAI), and the required attribution standard (definitively stating the individual acted on behalf of, or under the direction, control, or sponsorship of, the listed entity). Concrete examples of acceptable official sources, such as DOJ charging documents or official statements from OpenAI, are explicitly defined. Additionally, the rules clarify that mere speculation or contact does not qualify, retractions do not alter a prior qualifying event, and a definitive deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is provided.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
On October 13, 2026, the U.S. Department of Justice announced that Abdulrahman Alfozan, an OpenAI employee and Saudi national, had been arrested and charged after allegedly installing a covert audio recording device in an executive conference room at OpenAI's San Francisco offices (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/saudi-national-arrested-installing-surreptitious-audio-recording-device-openai). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. federal government or OpenAI publicly alleges that Abdulrahman Alfozan acted on behalf of the listed entity in connection with this incident between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For listed countries, the alleged conduct must be attributed to the government of the listed country, its intelligence or security services, or a state-affiliated entity of the listed country. Alfozan's nationality alone will not qualify. For listed companies or individuals, the alleged conduct must be attributed to the listed company, its subsidiaries, or the listed individual. A qualifying allegation must definitively state that Alfozan acted on behalf of, or under the direction, control, or sponsorship of, the listed entity. Statements that merely speculate about or suggest possible ties, or that describe only contact, cooperation, or association with the listed entity, will not qualify. Qualifying allegations include charging documents, court filings, and on-the-record statements by the U.S. Department of Justice, the FBI, or other U.S. federal agencies or their authorized representatives acting in an official capacity, as well as official statements by OpenAI. Once a qualifying allegation has been made, no subsequent retraction will be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and OpenAI.
Market explained
This market measures whether official allegations emerge from the U.S. federal government or OpenAI stating that Abdulrahman Alfozan acted on behalf of Meta regarding the recording device incident at OpenAI.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. federal government or OpenAI publicly alleges that Abdulrahman Alfozan acted on behalf of, or under the direction, control, or sponsorship of Meta (or its subsidiaries) in connection with the incident between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying allegations include charging documents, court filings, and on-the-record statements by U.S. federal agencies or official statements by OpenAI. Statements that merely speculate, suggest possible ties, or describe only contact, cooperation, or association do not qualify. Once made, a qualifying allegation is not affected by subsequent retractions. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined by official information from the U.S. government and OpenAI.
Resolution source
Official information from the U.S. government and OpenAI
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·