Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 20?
Last captured price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$2.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has precise resolution criteria referencing a single, objective data point. It relies entirely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at exactly 12:00 PM ET on October 20. The resolution source URL, timeframe, pair, and metric are clearly specified, leaving no room for decider discretion or conflicting interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price is above $92,000 at a specific 1-minute candle on October 20. It relies strictly on the Binance BTC/USDT pair rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 20, 2026, has a final Close price strictly greater than $92,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $92,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are disregarded. Price precision follows the decimal places available on Binance.
Key dates
- Resolution timestamp: — Binance 1-minute candle close time in ET timezone
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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